Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.8%
Leganes
33.9%
Draw
38.3%
Las Palmas
Expected Goals (xG)
0.74
Leganes
vs
0.93
Las Palmas
Markets
BTTS31.6%
Over 0.581.4%
Over 1.549.7%
Over 2.523.6%
Over 3.58.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
18.6%
0-1
17.6%
1-0
14.1%
1-1
12.8%
0-2
8.1%
1-2
6.0%
2-0
5.2%
2-1
4.8%
0-3
2.5%
2-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
3-0
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).