Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.2%
Aberdeen
25.6%
Draw
20.2%
Livingston
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
Aberdeen
vs
0.94
Livingston
Markets
BTTS50.6%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.527.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
7.9%
0-1
6.0%
3-0
5.8%
3-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
3.2%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).