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AHT: 11CSV

15 May 2021 · 18:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.5%
Goztep
36.4%
Draw
30.1%
Besiktas

Expected Goals (xG)

1.10

Goztep

vs
1.03

Besiktas

Markets

BTTS46.5%
Over 0.584.8%
Over 1.566.4%
Over 2.536.0%
Over 3.516.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
16.8%
0-0
15.2%
1-0
9.6%
0-1
8.8%
2-1
7.4%
2-0
7.2%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-1
2.7%
3-0
2.6%
1-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).