Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.5%
Wrexham
27.6%
Draw
32.9%
Millwall
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Wrexham
vs
1.29
Millwall
Markets
BTTS56.3%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.551.3%
Over 3.529.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
2-1
8.7%
1-0
8.4%
1-2
7.8%
0-0
7.6%
0-1
7.4%
2-0
6.7%
2-2
5.6%
0-2
5.5%
3-1
4.2%
1-3
3.4%
3-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).