Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.6%
Barrow
26.4%
Draw
30.0%
Aldershot
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Barrow
vs
1.29
Aldershot
Markets
BTTS58.8%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.555.2%
Over 3.532.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
7.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.1%
0-0
6.5%
0-1
6.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-1
4.9%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).