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DHT: 10CSV

10 May 2022 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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57.7%
Bromley
25.9%
Draw
16.3%
Altrincham

Expected Goals (xG)

1.68

Bromley

vs
0.78

Altrincham

Markets

BTTS45.1%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.544.6%
Over 3.523.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-0
12.0%
0-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
6.7%
0-1
5.8%
3-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
3.7%
4-0
2.8%
0-2
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).