Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.6%
Accrington
24.2%
Draw
39.2%
Doncaster
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Accrington
vs
1.34
Doncaster
Markets
BTTS52.3%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.526.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
0-1
10.8%
1-0
10.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.0%
0-2
6.5%
0-0
6.2%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
3.7%
3-1
3.4%
0-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).