Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.1%
Dag and Red
22.1%
Draw
13.8%
Ebbsfleet
Expected Goals (xG)
2.01
Dag and Red
vs
0.83
Ebbsfleet
Markets
BTTS49.8%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.554.1%
Over 3.531.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.8%
1-0
10.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
7.9%
0-0
6.6%
3-1
6.6%
2-2
4.1%
1-2
4.0%
0-1
4.0%
4-0
4.0%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).