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DHT: 11CSV

28 Oct 2025 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.8%
Clermont
24.4%
Draw
48.8%
Montpellier

Expected Goals (xG)

0.99

Clermont

vs
1.46

Montpellier

Markets

BTTS47.3%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.569.3%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.523.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.6%
1-1
11.5%
1-0
9.6%
0-2
9.1%
1-2
9.1%
0-0
7.6%
2-1
6.2%
2-2
4.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-0
4.3%
2-3
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).