Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.4%
Brescia
33.9%
Draw
31.8%
Sudtirol
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Brescia
vs
0.96
Sudtirol
Markets
BTTS40.4%
Over 0.584.6%
Over 1.559.8%
Over 2.531.4%
Over 3.513.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
15.4%
1-1
14.9%
1-0
12.8%
0-1
12.1%
2-0
7.1%
2-1
6.8%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-0
2.4%
3-1
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).