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AHT: 12CSV

07 Dec 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.0%
Mansfield
23.8%
Draw
33.2%
Huddersfield

Expected Goals (xG)

1.43

Mansfield

vs
1.22

Huddersfield

Markets

BTTS52.7%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.527.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.3%
1-0
11.1%
0-1
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.2%
0-0
6.0%
2-2
5.4%
0-2
5.2%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).