Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.1%
Southend
16.9%
Draw
8.0%
Oxford City
Expected Goals (xG)
2.42
Southend
vs
0.68
Oxford City
Markets
BTTS45.6%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.559.8%
Over 3.537.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.2%
3-0
10.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.0%
1-1
8.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-0
6.4%
0-0
5.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-0
3.1%
2-2
3.1%
1-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).