Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.1%
Colchester
27.5%
Draw
29.4%
Grimsby
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Colchester
vs
0.97
Grimsby
Markets
BTTS43.9%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.564.6%
Over 2.538.4%
Over 3.518.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.0%
1-1
12.6%
0-1
11.1%
0-0
10.3%
2-0
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
5.1%
2-2
4.0%
3-0
3.5%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).