Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.7%
Santander
19.7%
Draw
21.5%
Sp Gijon
Expected Goals (xG)
2.24
Santander
vs
1.30
Sp Gijon
Markets
BTTS64.8%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.586.7%
Over 2.568.5%
Over 3.547.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-2
6.1%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
5.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-1
3.9%
0-1
3.9%
4-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).