Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →7.3%
Greuther Furth
14.4%
Draw
78.2%
Dortmund
Expected Goals (xG)
0.75
Greuther Furth
vs
2.71
Dortmund
Markets
BTTS49.5%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.586.4%
Over 2.567.1%
Over 3.545.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.6%
0-3
10.5%
1-2
8.6%
0-1
8.1%
1-3
7.8%
0-4
7.1%
1-1
6.8%
1-4
5.3%
0-5
3.8%
0-0
3.6%
2-2
3.2%
2-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).