Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.0%
Fleetwood Town
25.9%
Draw
45.1%
Port Vale
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Fleetwood Town
vs
1.39
Port Vale
Markets
BTTS48.4%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.523.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.6%
1-1
12.2%
1-0
9.7%
1-2
8.8%
0-2
8.4%
0-0
8.2%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
4.8%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
4.1%
0-3
3.9%
3-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).