Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.5%
İstanbul Başakşehir
25.0%
Draw
45.5%
Fenerbahce
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
İstanbul Başakşehir
vs
2.10
Fenerbahce
Markets
BTTS73.6%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.591.2%
Over 2.572.9%
Over 3.552.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.0%
1-2
8.4%
2-2
7.1%
2-1
6.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-3
5.0%
0-2
5.0%
0-0
4.3%
3-2
4.0%
3-1
3.8%
0-3
3.5%
2-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).