Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →10.9%
Martigues
15.5%
Draw
73.6%
Lorient
Expected Goals (xG)
0.75
Martigues
vs
2.34
Lorient
Markets
BTTS47.1%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.559.7%
Over 3.537.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.4%
0-1
11.3%
0-3
9.7%
1-2
9.3%
1-1
7.3%
1-3
7.3%
0-4
5.7%
1-4
4.3%
1-0
4.1%
0-0
3.9%
2-2
3.5%
2-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).