Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.2%
Stevenage
23.1%
Draw
30.7%
Barnsley
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Stevenage
vs
1.21
Barnsley
Markets
BTTS54.2%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.552.0%
Over 3.529.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
8.7%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-2
5.6%
0-0
5.4%
3-1
4.7%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).