Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.4%
Erzgebirge Aue
28.4%
Draw
27.2%
Regensburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Erzgebirge Aue
vs
1.10
Regensburg
Markets
BTTS52.6%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.547.5%
Over 3.525.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
8.8%
2-0
8.3%
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-2
5.0%
0-2
4.6%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
4.0%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).