Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.4%
Red Star
26.4%
Draw
28.2%
Grenoble
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Red Star
vs
0.93
Grenoble
Markets
BTTS42.7%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.563.7%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.518.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.1%
1-1
12.0%
0-1
11.3%
0-0
9.9%
2-0
8.9%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
4.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-0
3.8%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).