Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.3%
Benevento
30.6%
Draw
30.1%
Perugia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Benevento
vs
1.07
Perugia
Markets
BTTS48.2%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.568.7%
Over 2.541.0%
Over 3.520.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
0-0
11.1%
1-0
11.0%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
8.2%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
3.4%
3-0
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).