Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →10.9%
Karagumruk
22.5%
Draw
66.6%
Besiktas
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88
Karagumruk
vs
2.27
Besiktas
Markets
BTTS54.7%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.584.4%
Over 2.561.0%
Over 3.538.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.0%
1-1
10.7%
1-2
9.7%
0-3
8.3%
0-1
7.6%
1-3
7.4%
0-0
6.4%
0-4
4.7%
2-2
4.3%
1-4
4.2%
2-1
3.8%
2-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).