Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.7%
Salernitana
28.0%
Draw
54.4%
Sassuolo
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78
Salernitana
vs
1.54
Sassuolo
Markets
BTTS43.7%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.541.0%
Over 3.520.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.0%
1-1
12.9%
0-2
11.7%
0-0
11.0%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
6.5%
0-3
6.0%
1-3
4.7%
2-1
4.6%
2-2
3.5%
2-0
3.0%
0-4
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).