Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.4%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
32.9%
Draw
26.6%
Augsburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Fortuna Dusseldorf
vs
0.85
Augsburg
Markets
BTTS39.2%
Over 0.584.8%
Over 1.559.1%
Over 2.531.1%
Over 3.513.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
15.2%
1-0
14.7%
1-1
14.3%
0-1
11.0%
2-0
8.7%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
5.6%
0-2
5.1%
3-0
3.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-1
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).