Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.7%
Macclesfield
28.2%
Draw
43.1%
Port Vale
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Macclesfield
vs
1.21
Port Vale
Markets
BTTS41.8%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.562.3%
Over 2.535.9%
Over 3.516.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.8%
1-1
12.7%
1-0
11.5%
0-0
11.3%
0-2
8.6%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
5.1%
2-2
3.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
3-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).