Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.8%
Gillingham
24.5%
Draw
39.7%
Plymouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Gillingham
vs
1.32
Plymouth
Markets
BTTS51.0%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.525.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
0-1
11.3%
1-0
10.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
7.8%
0-2
6.8%
0-0
6.7%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
5.2%
1-3
3.7%
3-1
3.2%
0-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).