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AHT: 00CSV

04 Aug 2024 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.0%
Ulm
27.5%
Draw
41.5%
Kaiserslautern

Expected Goals (xG)

1.28

Ulm

vs
1.51

Kaiserslautern

Markets

BTTS57.3%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.552.7%
Over 3.530.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.0%
1-2
9.0%
0-1
8.2%
2-1
7.6%
0-0
7.3%
0-2
7.0%
1-0
6.7%
2-2
5.7%
2-0
5.0%
1-3
4.5%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).