Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.2%
Ajaccio
28.6%
Draw
47.2%
Le Mans
Expected Goals (xG)
0.74
Ajaccio
vs
1.17
Le Mans
Markets
BTTS35.0%
Over 0.586.2%
Over 1.555.8%
Over 2.529.9%
Over 3.512.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
18.4%
0-0
13.8%
1-0
12.0%
1-1
11.8%
0-2
10.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-1
4.7%
2-0
4.0%
0-3
4.0%
1-3
2.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-1
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).