Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.5%
Kelty Hearts
23.3%
Draw
12.2%
Elgin
Expected Goals (xG)
2.06
Kelty Hearts
vs
0.82
Elgin
Markets
BTTS50.5%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.579.9%
Over 2.554.9%
Over 3.532.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.9%
1-1
11.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
8.2%
0-0
7.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-0
4.2%
2-2
4.0%
1-2
3.9%
4-1
3.5%
0-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).