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AHT: 01CSV

26 Sept 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.6%
Oxford City
24.9%
Draw
34.5%
Gateshead

Expected Goals (xG)

1.70

Oxford City

vs
1.55

Gateshead

Markets

BTTS65.2%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.584.4%
Over 2.563.0%
Over 3.540.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.1%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-2
6.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-0
5.6%
0-1
5.2%
3-1
4.9%
0-0
4.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.1%
3-2
3.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).