Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.6%
Coventry
20.2%
Draw
15.2%
QPR
Expected Goals (xG)
2.29
Coventry
vs
1.04
QPR
Markets
BTTS58.9%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.585.2%
Over 2.564.6%
Over 3.542.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.4%
1-1
9.3%
1-0
7.5%
3-1
7.4%
3-0
7.1%
2-2
5.1%
1-2
4.5%
0-0
4.3%
4-1
4.3%
4-0
4.1%
3-2
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).