Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.5%
Girona
29.0%
Draw
20.6%
Tenerife
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Girona
vs
0.70
Tenerife
Markets
BTTS36.3%
Over 0.586.4%
Over 1.558.8%
Over 2.531.9%
Over 3.514.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.8%
0-0
13.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-0
11.3%
0-1
9.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-0
4.8%
1-2
4.3%
0-2
3.4%
3-1
3.4%
2-2
2.8%
4-0
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).