Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.8%
Crawley Town
17.1%
Draw
70.1%
Birmingham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78
Crawley Town
vs
2.18
Birmingham
Markets
BTTS47.4%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.534.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.3%
0-1
12.0%
1-2
9.6%
0-3
8.9%
1-1
8.1%
1-3
7.0%
0-4
4.9%
1-0
4.8%
0-0
4.4%
1-4
3.8%
2-2
3.8%
2-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).