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AHT: 01CSV

06 Oct 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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63.3%
Falkirk
23.8%
Draw
12.9%
Dunfermline

Expected Goals (xG)

1.98

Falkirk

vs
0.81

Dunfermline

Markets

BTTS49.3%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.552.7%
Over 3.530.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
12.1%
1-1
11.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
8.0%
0-0
7.7%
3-1
6.4%
1-2
4.0%
4-0
4.0%
2-2
3.9%
0-1
3.4%
4-1
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).