Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.5%
Malaga
30.5%
Draw
37.0%
Las Palmas
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Malaga
vs
1.04
Las Palmas
Markets
BTTS39.8%
Over 0.586.6%
Over 1.559.3%
Over 2.532.3%
Over 3.514.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.3%
0-0
13.4%
1-1
13.4%
1-0
13.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-2
7.0%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
3.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
3-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).