Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.9%
Hansa Rostock
29.9%
Draw
29.3%
Erzgebirge Aue
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Hansa Rostock
vs
1.08
Erzgebirge Aue
Markets
BTTS49.8%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.522.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
1-0
10.7%
0-0
10.3%
2-1
8.5%
0-1
8.5%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.8%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).