Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.8%
Numancia
25.0%
Draw
33.3%
Cordoba
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Numancia
vs
1.30
Cordoba
Markets
BTTS56.2%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.552.8%
Over 3.530.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.8%
0-0
6.0%
2-2
5.8%
0-2
5.2%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).