Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.6%
Three Bridges
18.3%
Draw
49.1%
Horsham
Expected Goals (xG)
2.11
Three Bridges
vs
2.57
Horsham
Markets
BTTS81.0%
Over 0.599.2%
Over 1.594.6%
Over 2.584.5%
Over 3.568.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-2
6.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
5.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-1
5.3%
1-1
4.9%
3-2
4.8%
3-3
4.1%
2-4
3.8%
3-1
3.7%
1-4
3.6%
0-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).