Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.1%
Chateauroux
26.0%
Draw
47.9%
Red Star
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Chateauroux
vs
1.33
Red Star
Markets
BTTS42.4%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.564.1%
Over 2.538.3%
Over 3.518.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.5%
1-1
11.8%
1-0
10.7%
0-0
9.8%
0-2
9.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
5.7%
2-0
4.3%
0-3
4.3%
2-2
3.8%
1-3
3.8%
3-1
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).