Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.6%
QPR
28.7%
Draw
36.8%
Brentford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
QPR
vs
1.29
Brentford
Markets
BTTS52.4%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.524.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
0-1
9.3%
1-0
9.0%
0-0
8.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
7.9%
0-2
6.6%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
5.1%
1-3
3.5%
3-1
3.3%
0-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).