Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.8%
Plymouth
25.2%
Draw
24.9%
Hartlepool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Plymouth
vs
0.96
Hartlepool
Markets
BTTS47.3%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.523.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
8.8%
0-0
8.2%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
4.7%
3-1
4.5%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).