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AHT: 01CSV

27 Sept 2025 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.2%
Laval
25.6%
Draw
52.2%
Montpellier

Expected Goals (xG)

0.78

Laval

vs
1.39

Montpellier

Markets

BTTS39.7%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.562.8%
Over 2.536.9%
Over 3.517.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
16.8%
1-1
11.4%
0-2
11.0%
0-0
10.4%
1-0
10.0%
1-2
8.6%
0-3
5.1%
2-1
4.9%
1-3
4.0%
2-0
3.5%
2-2
3.4%
0-4
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).