Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.2%
Andorra
21.9%
Draw
16.9%
Cartagena
Expected Goals (xG)
1.87
Andorra
vs
0.86
Cartagena
Markets
BTTS48.8%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.551.4%
Over 3.529.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.3%
2-0
11.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
7.1%
0-0
6.4%
3-1
6.1%
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-2
4.2%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).