Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.1%
Karpaty
30.6%
Draw
24.3%
Vorskla
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Karpaty
vs
0.81
Vorskla
Markets
BTTS39.2%
Over 0.586.3%
Over 1.560.2%
Over 2.532.7%
Over 3.514.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.7%
0-0
13.7%
1-1
13.4%
0-1
10.4%
2-0
9.7%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
5.2%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
3.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).