Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.0%
Elversberg
18.8%
Draw
14.3%
Karlsruhe
Expected Goals (xG)
2.50
Elversberg
vs
1.11
Karlsruhe
Markets
BTTS62.2%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.588.2%
Over 2.569.9%
Over 3.548.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.5%
1-1
8.2%
3-1
7.8%
3-0
7.1%
1-0
6.0%
2-2
5.2%
4-1
4.9%
4-0
4.4%
3-2
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
0-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).