Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.0%
Le Havre
38.0%
Draw
16.0%
Bastia
Expected Goals (xG)
0.85
Le Havre
vs
0.37
Bastia
Markets
BTTS17.0%
Over 0.571.4%
Over 1.533.9%
Over 2.512.6%
Over 3.53.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
28.6%
1-0
25.8%
0-1
11.7%
2-0
10.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-1
4.0%
3-0
3.0%
0-2
2.0%
1-2
1.7%
3-1
1.1%
2-2
0.7%
4-0
0.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).