Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.0%
Mirandes
26.4%
Draw
16.6%
Lugo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Mirandes
vs
0.65
Lugo
Markets
BTTS36.4%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.562.1%
Over 2.535.2%
Over 3.516.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.9%
2-0
13.0%
0-0
12.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-1
8.4%
0-1
8.0%
3-0
6.3%
3-1
4.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-2
2.7%
0-2
2.5%
4-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).