Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.2%
Brighton
27.4%
Draw
26.4%
Leeds
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66
Brighton
vs
1.21
Leeds
Markets
BTTS58.4%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.554.7%
Over 3.532.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-0
7.8%
0-0
7.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-2
5.7%
0-1
5.3%
3-1
5.2%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).