Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.7%
Farense
23.8%
Draw
16.5%
AVS
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Farense
vs
0.69
AVS
Markets
BTTS39.4%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.566.2%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.519.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.7%
2-0
12.9%
1-1
10.7%
0-0
9.6%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.5%
3-0
6.9%
3-1
4.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-2
3.1%
4-0
2.8%
0-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).